UK B2C E-Commerce Sales Forecasts: 2017 to 2021 code:1347

UK B2C E-Commerce Sales Forecasts: 2017 to 2021
OVERVIEW
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COMPANIES MENTIONED
Countries Covered: UK
Pages: 28
Publication Date: 15/11/2017
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Questions Covered in the report:
  • How high is the UK’s share of online retail sales in Western Europe and worldwide?
  • What are the predictions for B2C E-Commerce sales growth rate in the UK through 2021?
  • What are the estimates for online share of total retail sales in the UK in 2017 and in 2021?
  • Who are the largest B2C E-Commerce market players in the UK?
  • Which market trends are predicted to impact the development of UK online retail through 2021?

Key Findings:

UK E-Commerce growth rates to decline to below 10%

The UK is one of the largest and the most advanced B2C E-Commerce markets in Europe and worldwide. More than three-quarters of the adult population already shop online, purchasing a wide range of product categories from groceries to clothing. The country’s top 10 E-Commerce market players, led by Amazon and Tesco, each generate online sales of more than 1 billion pounds per year, according to a ranking cited in the yStats.com report. B2C E-Commerce already accounts for a double-digit share of total retail sales in the country, and is projected to approach at least one-fifth in the next five years.

With the popularity of online shopping thus already high, most original sources cited in the yStats.com report expect moderation of the growth pace. Through 2021, the E-Commerce market in the UK is projected to see a compound annual growth rate of below 10%. According to some forecasts, the year-on-year percentage increase in online sales in 2021 could be about half of 2017’s rate, when it was still in double-digits. Nevertheless, the rapid rise of shopping trends such as M-Commerce and click-and-collect, combined with retailer investment into new technologies including virtual reality and chatbots, could secure solid growth of Internet retail at a rate much higher than pure store-based retail. At the end of the forecast period, the UK is expected to lose a percentage point in global E-Commerce sales due to a more rapid expansion of emerging economies, but strengthen its leadership in Western Europe with a share of around one-third of total online retail in the region.

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1. Management Summary

2. Market Overview and International Comparisons

  • B2C E-Commerce Market Overview and International Comparisons, June 2017
  • UK’s Share of Global Retail E-Commerce Sales in Western Europe and Worldwide, in %, 2017f & 2021f
  • M-Commerce Share of Retail E-Commerce Sales, in % and in GBP billion, 2017f & 2021f
  • Online Shopper Penetration, in % of Adults, 2012-2017
  • Product Categories Purchased Online, in % of Adults, Q1 2017
  • Breakdown of Payment Methods Preferred in E-Commerce, in % of Online Shoppers, February 2017
  • Top 20 Retailers by B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP million, FY 2015/2016

3. Overview of Sales and Shares Forecasts

  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, by Six Comparative Estimates, and CAGR, in %, 2016 – 2022f
  • B2C E-Commerce Share of Total Retail Sales, in %, by Three Comparative Estimates, 2016 – 2022f

4. Sales Forecasts

  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, 2017f & 2022f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, and Year-on-Year Change, in %, 2016 – 2021f
  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, 2016 & 2021f
  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, by Baseline and Enhanced Scenario, 2016 & 2021f
  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, 2015 – 2017f
  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in GBP billion, 2015 – 2017f
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  • Amazon.com Inc
  • Argos Group BV
  • Dixons Carphone PLC
  • John Lewis PLC
  • Tesco Plc
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