China B2C E-Commerce Sales Forecasts: 2017 to 2021 code:1345

China B2C E-Commerce Sales Forecasts: 2017 to 2021
OVERVIEW
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COMPANIES MENTIONED
Countries Covered: China
Pages: 33
Publication Date: 03/11/2017
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Questions Covered in the report:
  • How large is China’s online retail market predicted to be by 2021?
  • What growth rates are expected for retail E-Commerce sales in China through 2021?
  • What are the main E-Commerce growth drivers in China?
  • How high is China’s share of global online sales in 2016 and what is the forecast for 2021?
  • Which percentage of retail E-Commerce sales in China stems from mobile in 2017?

Key Findings: China’s online retail market to reach over 1 trillion Euros

China is the world’s largest B2C E-Commerce market, accounting for a double-digit share of global online sales. More than half a billion people shop online in China, with the E-Commerce share of total retail sales reaching twice as high as the global average. Within the next few years, China is expected to set a new record by generating E-Commerce sales of over 1 trillion Euros, including B2C and C2C online retail. Five out of six original sources cited in the yStats.com publication concur with this prediction, although disagree on the specific year when this milestone will be reached. Another common projection is the decline of year-on-year growth rates over the forecast period compared to the previous years due to increased maturity of the market, although the compound annual growth rate in the period from 2016 to 2021 is still projected to remain in the double-digits.

Among the key drivers of the online retail sales growth in China is the rise of mobile shopping as the main mode of E-Commerce. In the first half of 2017, M-Commerce accounted for more than three-quarters of online retail sales in China, according to several market estimates cited in the yStats.com report. The convenience of mobile shopping is expected to further spur the overall E-Commerce growth over the forecast period. Another major growth driver is the proliferation of online shopping in smaller cities and rural areas. Between 2015 and 2016, E-Commerce sales in rural China more than doubled, but still accounted for less than one-fifth of the nationwide online retail sales. Considering the significant proportion of China’s population living in rural areas, higher Internet and online shopper penetration rates combined with the expansion of delivery coverage of the major market players is projected to contribute to the E-Commerce boom.

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1. Management Summary

2. Market Overview and International Comparisons

  • B2C E-Commerce Market Overview, November 2017
  • China’s Share of Global E-Commerce Sales, by Two Comparative Estimates, 2016 & 2021f
  • China’s B2C E-Commerce Sales, in USD billion, B2C E-Commerce Share of Total Retail Sales, in %, and CAGR, in %, Compared to Global Regions and Worldwide, 2011, 2016 & 2021f
  • Number of Online Shoppers, in millions, and Penetration, in % of Internet Users, 2012 – 2016 & H1 2017
  • Product Categories Purchased Online, via Mobile Apps and in Physical Stores, in % of Consumers, 2016
  • Breakdown of Payment Methods Used in E-Commerce, in % of Online Shoppers, 2016
  • M-Commerce Sales, in CNY trillion and in % of Total Retail E-Commerce Sales, by Two Comparative Estimates, Q1 2016 – Q2 2017
  • Top 5 Market Players by Share of B2C E-Commerce GMV, in %, H1 2017

3. Overview of Sales and Shares Forecasts

  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in USD billion, and CAGR, in %, by Four Comparative Estimates, 2016 – 2021f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in CNY billion, and CAGR, in %, by Four Comparative Estimates, 2014 – 2019f
  • E-Commerce Share of Total Retail Sales, in %, by Six Comparative Estimates, 2014 – 2021f
  • Breakdown of Retail E-Commerce Sales by B2C and C2C, in %, 2012 – 2019f

4. Sales Forecasts

  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in USD billion, and Year-on-Year Change, in %, 2016 – 2021f
  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in USD billion, 2016 & 2021f, and CAGR, in %, 2016 – 2021f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in USD billion, 2016 & 2021f, and CAGR, in %, 2016 – 2021f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in USD billion, 2016 & 2020f, and CAGR, in %, 2016 – 2020f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in CNY trillion, and Year-on-Year Change, in %, 2014 – 2019f
  • B2C E-Commerce Sales, in CNY trillion, and Year-on-Year Change, in %, 2014 – 2019f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in CNY billion, and Year-on-Year Change, in %, 2014 – 2019f
  • Retail E-Commerce Sales (incl. B2C and C2C), in CNY trillion, and Year-on-Year Change, in %, 2014 – 2017f
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  • Alibaba Group Holdings Limited
  • GOME Electrical Appliances Holding Limited
  • JD.com Inc
  • Suning Commerce Group
  • Vipshop Holdings Ltd.
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